On the surface, Night 2 of the 2019 Creative Arts Emmy Awards appears to give us a good understanding of how the Primetime categories will fair on September 22. This night offers the first showdown between HBO’s Chernobyl and Netflix’s When They See Us. We’ll see how deeply the Television Academy’s respect for the legacy (if not the final season) of Game of Thrones. On the Comedy front, we’ll see if The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel can improve on last year’s three trophies.
But don’t let any of this sway your opinions on what the final night brings.
On the Limited Series front, I think When They See Us is likely to only win one award – Casting in a Limited Series – because I think Chernobyl‘s crafts will be incredibly tough to beat. If that forecast holds, then does that mean it’s doomed to lose Limited Series against the more technically advanced Chernobyl? Definitely not. When They See Us‘s strength clearly lives in the acting branch with an unexpectedly large nomination haul. And if it wins more than Casting (as others are predicting), then Netflix seems even likelier to take home that elusive Limited Series trophy.
Game of Thrones won’t win every award it’s up for, that’s for certain. In 2018, it won 7 out of 15 Creative Arts trophies. This year, it’s up for 18 Creative Arts trophies. If the benchmark is 50%, then look out on Sunday night if it takes home more than 9 wins. I mean, it’s pretty much a done deal for limited series, but maybe Sunday night tells us how likely Writing or Directing or Acting wins can be. To break its own record of 12 wins in a year, it would need a strong showing on Night 2. My guess as indicated below is finishing Night 2 with 12 trophies, which definitely seems too high when taken in total.
Maisel won three Creative Arts Emmys last year, which honestly seemed low for such a high profile period piece. Will it win more this year? Unforunately, it’s running against some major competitors in Game of Thrones, Fosse/Verdon, Pose, and Chernobyl. Plus, it’s nominated against itself a few times, which won’t help distinguish it against strong competition. Night 2 may not really give us a very strong idea of how the Comedy races end up on the Primetime night. I’d look to Casting (currently forecasted to go to Maisel) for attention on the final night.
Here are our predictions for these races. Feel free to comment below!
Sunday, September 15, 2019 Creative Arts Awards Categories
- Outstanding Actor In A Short Form Comedy or Drama Series
- Patton Oswalt, An Emmy For Megan – Jalal, David
- Jimmy Fallon, Beto Breaks The Internet
- Ed Begley, Jr., Ctrl Alt Delete
- Ryan O’Connell, Special – Clarence, Joey, Jazz
- Chris O’Dowd, State Of The Union
- Outstanding Actress In A Short Form Comedy or Drama Series
- Ilana Glazer, Hack Into Broad City
- Abbi Jacobson, Hack Into Broad City
- Jessica Hecht, Special – Joey
- Punam Patel, Special
- Rosamund Pike, State Of The Union – Clarence, Jalal, David, Jazz
- Outstanding Casting for a Comedy Series
- Barry
- Fleabag
- Russian Doll
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Veep – David
- Outstanding Casting for a Drama Series
- Game Of Thrones – Jalal, David
- Killing Eve
- Ozark
- Pose – Clarence, Joey
- Succession – Jazz
- Outstanding Casting for a Limited Series, Movie or Special
- Chernobyl
- Escape At Dannemora
- Fosse/Verdon
- Sharp Objects
- When They See Us – Clarence, Joey, Jalal, David, Jazz
- Outstanding Children’s Program
- A Series Of Unfortunate Events – David
- Carmen Sandiego
- Song Of Parkland
- Star Wars Resistance
- When You Wish Upon A Pickle: A Sesame Street Special – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Outstanding Cinematography for a Limited Series or Movie
- Chernobyl – Clarence, Joey, Jazz
- Deadwood: The Movie – David
- True Detective
- When They See Us – Jalal
- Outstanding Cinematography for a Multi-Camera Series
- Rel – Clarence
- The Ranch
- Will & Grace – Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Outstanding Cinematography for a Single-Camera Series (Half-Hour)
- Ballers
- Fleabag
- Homecoming – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Insecure
- Russian Doll – David
- What We Do In The Shadows
- Outstanding Cinematography for a Single-Camera Series (One Hour)
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Hanna
- Ray Donovan
- The Handmaid’s Tale (“Holly”)
- The Handmaid’s Tale (“The Word”)
- The Man In The High Castle
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Outstanding Commercial
- A Great Day In Hollywood – Netflix – Jalal
- Behind The Mac – Make Something Wonderful – Macbook
- Dream Crazy – Nike
- Point Of View – Sandy Hook Promise – Clarence, David, JAzz
- Shot On iPhone XS – Don’t Mess With Mother – iPhone – Joey
- Outstanding Contemporary Costumes
- black-ish – Clarence, Jalal
- Escape At Dannemora
- Grace And Frankie
- Russian Doll – Joey, David, Jazz
- Schitt’s Creek
- Sharp Objects
- Outstanding Creative Achievement In Interactive Media Within A Scripted Program
- Bandersnatch: Black Mirror – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Game Of Thrones – David
- The Good Place
- Outstanding Fantasy/Sci-Fi Costumes
- A Series Of Unfortunate Events
- American Horror Story: Apocalypse
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Good Omens
- The Handmaid’s Tale
- Outstanding Guest Actor In A Comedy Series
- Matt Damon, Saturday Night Live – David
- Robert De Niro, Saturday Night Live
- John Mulaney, Saturday Night Live
- Adam Sandler, Saturday Night Live – Clarence, Joey, Jazz
- Luke Kirby, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Rufus Sewell, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Peter MacNicol, Veep – Jalal
- Outstanding Guest Actor In A Drama Series
- Michael McKean, Better Call Saul – David
- Glynn Turman, How To Get Away With Murder
- Bradley Whitford, The Handmaid’s Tale – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Kumail Nanjiani, The Twilight Zone
- Ron Cephas Jones, This Is Us
- Michael Angarano, This Is Us
- Outstanding Guest Actress In A Comedy Series
- Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
- Kristin Scott Thomas, Fleabag – Clarence, David
- Sandra Oh, Saturday Night Live
- Emma Thompson, Saturday Night Live, Jazz
- Maya Rudolph, The Good Place – Jalal
- Jane Lynch, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Joey
- Outstanding Guest Actress In A Drama Series
- Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Apocalypse – Jazz
- Carice van Houten, Game Of Thrones – David
- Cicely Tyson, How To Get Away With Murder
- Laverne Cox, Orange Is The New Black
- Cherry Jones, The Handmaid’s Tale
- Phylicia Rashad, This Is Us – Clarence, Jalal, Joey
- Outstanding Hairstyling for a Limited Series or Movie
- Chernobyl
- Deadwood: The Movie
- Fosse/Verdon – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Sharp Objects
- True Detective
- Outstanding Hairstyling for a Single-Camera Series
- American Horror Story: Apocalypse
- Game Of Thrones
- GLOW
- Pose – Clarence, David
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Jalal, Joey, JAzz
- Outstanding Main Title Design
- Conversations With A Killer: The Ted Bundy Tapes
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Star Trek: Discovery
- True Detective
- Warrior
- Outstanding Makeup for a Limited Series or Movie (Non-Prosthetic)
- Chernobyl – Clarence, David, JAzz
- Deadwood: The Movie
- Fosse/Verdon – Jalal, Joey
- Sharp Objects
- True Detective
- Outstanding Makeup for a Single-Camera Series (Non-Prosthetic)
- American Horror Story: Apocalypse
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- GLOW
- Pose
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Outstanding Multi-Camera Picture Editing for a Comedy Series
- Mom
- One Day At A Time – David
- The Big Bang Theory – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- The Conners
- Will & Grace
- Outstanding Music Composition for a Limited Series, Movie or Special (Original Dramatic Score)
- Chernobyl – Clarence, Jazz
- Escape At Dannemora
- Good Omens
- True Detective
- When They See Us – Jalal, Joey, David
- Outstanding Music Composition for a Series (Original Dramatic Score)
- Barry
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- House Of Cards
- The Handmaid’s Tale
- This Is Us
- Outstanding Music Supervision
- Better Call Saul
- Fosse/Verdon – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David
- Quincy – Jazz
- Russian Doll
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Outstanding Original Interactive Program
- First Man VR
- HQ Trivia x Warner Bros: A Live And Interactive Animation First
- NASA’s InSight Mars Landing – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Traveling While Black
- You Vs. Wild
- Outstanding Original Main Title Theme Music
- Castle Rock
- Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
- Good Omens
- Our Planet
- Succession – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Outstanding Period Costumes
- Chernobyl
- Fosse/Verdon – Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- GLOW
- Pose – Clarence
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – David
- Outstanding Production Design for a Narrative Program (Half-Hour)
- Barry
- Russian Doll – Clarence, Joey, Jazz, Jalal
- Veep – David
- Will & Grace
- Outstanding Production Design for a Narrative Contemporary Program (One Hour or More)
- Escape At Dannemora
- Killing Eve – David
- Ozark
- The Handmaid’s Tale – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- The Umbrella Academy
- Outstanding Production Design for a Narrative Period or Fantasy Program (One Hour or More)
- A Series Of Unfortunate Events
- Chernobyl – Clarence
- Fosse/Verdon
- Game Of Thrones – Jalal, David, Jazz
- The Man In The High Castle
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Joey
- Outstanding Prosthetic Makeup for a Series, Limited Series, Movie or Special
- American Horror Story: Apocalypse
- Chernobyl – David
- Fosse/Verdon – Joey
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Jazz
- Star Trek: Discovery
- Outstanding Short Form Comedy or Drama Series
- An Emmy For Megan – David
- Hack Into Broad City
- It’s Bruno!
- Special – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- State Of The Union
- Outstanding Single-Camera Picture Editing for a Comedy Series
- Barry (“berkman > block”)
- Barry (“ronny/lily”) – Clarence, Jazz
- Fleabag – Jalal, David
- Russian Doll – Joey
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (“We’re Going To The Catskills!”)
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (“Simone”)
- Outstanding Single-Camera Picture Editing for a Drama Series
- Game Of Thrones (“The Iron Throne”)
- Game Of Thrones (“The Long Night”) – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Game Of Thrones (“Winterfell”)
- Killing Eve
- Ozark
- The Handmaid’s Tale
- Outstanding Single-Camera Picture Editing for a Limited Series or Movie
- Chernobyl (“Open Wide, O Earth”)
- Chernobyl (“Please Remain Calm”)
- Deadwood: The Movie
- Fosse/Verdon – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Sharp Objects
- True Detective
- Outstanding Sound Editing for a Limited Series, Movie or Special
- Catch-22
- Chernobyl – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Deadwood: The Movie
- True Detective
- When They See Us – David
- Outstanding Sound Editing for a Comedy or Drama Series (One Hour)
- Better Call Saul
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- Gotham
- Star Trek: Discovery
- Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan
- Outstanding Sound Editing for a Comedy or Drama Series (Half-Hour) And Animation
- Ballers
- Barry – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David
- Love, Death & Robots – Jazz
- Russian Doll
- What We Do In The Shadows
- Outstanding Sound Mixing for a Comedy or Drama Series (Half-Hour) And Animation
- Barry – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Modern Family
- Russian Doll
- The Kominsky Method
- Veep – David
- Outstanding Sound Mixing for a Comedy or Drama Series (One Hour)
- Better Call Saul
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, JAzz
- Ozark
- The Handmaid’s Tale
- The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
- Outstanding Sound Mixing for a Limited Series or Movie
- Chernobyl – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Deadwood: The Movie – David
- Fosse/Verdon –
- True Detective
- When They See Us
- Outstanding Special Visual Effects
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David
- Star Trek: Discovery – Jazz
- The Man In The High Castle
- The Orville
- The Umbrella Academy
- Outstanding Special Visual Effects In A Supporting Role
- Catch-22 – Jalal
- Chernobyl – Clarence, Joey, David, Jazz
- Deadwood: The Movie
- Escape At Dannemora
- Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan
- Outstanding Stunt Coordination for a Comedy Series or Variety Program
- Barry – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, Jazz
- Cobra Kai
- GLOW – David
- Russian Doll
- The Tick
- Outstanding Stunt Coordination for a Drama Series, Limited Series or Movie
- Blindspot
- Game Of Thrones – Clarence, Jalal, Joey, David, Jazz
- S.W.A.T.
- SEAL Team
- The Blacklist